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Mali's security crisis is not a story of a partnership collapsing.
In this assessment, we examine how Mali’s shifting security partnerships are affecting national and regional stability over the next 12 months.
May 7
•
Nuri Shakoor
April 2026
The Coalition That Was Always Coming: What the Mali offensive reveals about Tuareg mobilization, the limits of fragile peace,
and what our Q1 2026 Sahel assessment now requires us to update
Apr 30
•
Nuri Shakoor
Sudan and the Normalization of Sustained Crisis
What three years of data, a vanishing institution, and $1.5 billion in unmet needs tell us about how atrocity persists.
Apr 28
•
Nuri Shakoor
Africa’s Mining Risk Is No Longer About Geology. It Is About Power.
Commentary /Analysis: The continent’s extractive future is being shaped less by what lies underground than by who now believes they can control the…
Apr 14
•
Nuri Shakoor
The Most Dangerous Part of the Ethiopia-Eritrea Crisis Is the Story People Are Telling About It
This is not yet a full interstate war. That is precisely why the risk is so high.
Apr 8
•
Nuri Shakoor
2
1
Mauritania 🇲🇷 : The Loop Was Never an Accident
Mauritania’s slavery crisis is not a failure of law. It is a success of the system designed to replace accountability with process.
Apr 6
•
Nuri Shakoor
Nigeria Is Not Failing by Accident
The Palm Sunday massacre in Jos is not a sign that Nigeria’s Middle Belt conflict has grown beyond control. It is a sign that the conditions producing…
Apr 2
•
Nuri Shakoor
1
2
March 2026
The Congo Is Not a Negotiation Problem
The war in eastern DRC persists not because diplomacy has failed to find the right formula but because the parties have little structural reason to want…
Mar 30
•
Nuri Shakoor
The Chad- Sudan Border Crisis
Commentary and Link to Analytic Assessment
Mar 29
•
Nuri Shakoor
2
2
Africa’s Oil Problem Is Not Just Exposure to Iran. It Is a Development Model That Turns Every External Shock into Domestic Inflation.
Flashpoints & Frameworks Commentary By Nuri Shakoor
Mar 19
•
Nuri Shakoor
1
1
Sudan’s War Is Not Just a Catastrophe. It Is a Revenue System Protected by Impunity.
Flashpoints & Frameworks Commentary By Nuri Shakoor
Mar 17
•
Nuri Shakoor
3
2
AU Extraordinary Summit on Conflicts (Luanda, Angola)
Flashpoints & Frameworks Analytic Brief | 11 March 2026 (EDT)
Mar 13
•
Nuri Shakoor
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