Tanzania Political Stability and Governance Risk (Aug–Nov 2025)

An in-depth analytic report assessing Tanzania’s political stability and governance risk from August to November 2025, integrating V-Dem, BTI, and GDELT…

Nov 5 • 

Nuri Shakoor

Flashpoints & Frameworks: Sub-Saharan Africa Security Outlook 2-Nov-2025

Conflict dynamics in late October to early November 2025 point to an elevated risk across Sudan, the eastern DRC, the Central Sahel, Somalia, and select…

Nov 3 • 

Nuri Shakoor

October 2025

SITREP: Crime–Conflict Dynamics and Illicit Markets in West Africa

Flashpoints & Frameworks Special Analysis

Oct 28 • 

Nuri Shakoor

Mauritania at a Crossroads

Slavery, Statelessness, and Fragility Exposed | Diaspora Voices, Risk Analysis, and the 8 Pillars of Positive Peace

Oct 17 • 

Nuri Shakoor

September 2025

Flashpoints & Frameworks: Benin’s 2026 Election – The Risks of Process Over Outcome

Monte Carlo Simulation & Risk Assessment Flashpoint - Benin 2026

Sep 11 • 

Nuri Shakoor

August 2025

When Disarmament Is a Mirage:

Why the Central African Republic’s Peace Accord Was Built to Fracture. What the data tell us.

Aug 7 • 

Nuri Shakoor

Flashpoints & Frameworks: Africa Risk Brief (Jul 27–Aug 1, 2025)

Structural Indicators, Peace Pillars, and Operational Risk

Aug 4 • 

Nuri Shakoor

About the Flashpoints & Frameworks Series:

FAQ on the Methodologies Behind the Newsletter

Aug 3 • 

Nuri Shakoor

July 2025

Peacekeeper Insight: Last Week's Flashpoints & Frameworks Brief

Edition: 12 – 18 July 2025

Jul 23 • 

Nuri Shakoor

Peace or Plunder?

Why the DRC–Rwanda Deal Demands More Than a Contract for Minerals. Can Congo’s peace deal with Rwanda break cycles of conflict or just shift mineral…

Jul 1 • 

Nuri Shakoor

March 2025

Strategic Insights from GTI-2025 Webinar on The Democratic Republic of the Congo

Notes and Insights on the DRC from the 2025 Global Terrorism Index launch

Mar 7 • 

Nuri Shakoor

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February 2025

Congo on the Brink: The War Over Minerals, Power, and Silence

As M23 rebels push deeper into the DRC, their rapid gains expose the country’s deep-rooted issues of weak governance and rule of law. With key cities…

Feb 19 • 

Nuri Shakoor

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