Flashpoints & Frameworks | Quanta Analytica

Flashpoints & Frameworks | Quanta Analytica

Mozambique’s Insurgency is Changing.

The danger lies in what the numbers do not immediately reveal

Nuri Shakoor's avatar
Nuri Shakoor
Nov 12, 2026

In Cabo Delgado, fewer recorded conflict events have not meant fewer deaths. Our analysis of ACLED latest data reveals a troubling pattern of persistent violence, rising abductions and an insurgency capable of exerting influence without permanently controlling territory.

By M. Nuri Shakoor

Here is a persistent assumption in how we understand insurgencies…

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