DR Congo Trajectory and Scenario Analysis

DEEP Analysis for Founding Members

DRC Trajectory and Scenario Analysis

This structured analytic report is designed for decision makers, security practitioners, humanitarian leadership, and strategic policy stakeholders requiring evidence based, forward looking analysis of conflict dynamics in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo.

The assessment supports NGO security managers, institutional partners, research collaborators, and risk informed investors seeking early warning insight, operational awareness, and scenario based forecasting grounded in structured analytic methodology.

Access to this report is currently reserved for founding members and supporting donors, whose contributions enable independent, non partisan research, conflict monitoring, and the development of analytic tools that strengthen humanitarian preparedness and strategic risk understanding.

Below is a decision & scenario analysis report using Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) to assess trajectory and scenarios for the M23–DRC conflict in North Kivu, including the impact of Willy Ngoma’s death.